- The new proposed amendments have to be voted on before May 1, 2020.
- There are no true opposition parties in Russia.
- The Kremlin continues with their efforts to take total control.
Do the amendments to the Russian constitution give hope to the opposition and what is the future of Russia and the government?
In reality, Russia does not have opposition. The pseudo opposition leader Alexei Navalny is merely a social media darling and a minor nuisance to the Kremlin. He is always arrested for a short term, in turn creating newsworthy stories and buzz in the global media on the topic of Russia. Navalny keeps projecting his grandiose dream of one day being the president of Russia. However, it is the same as the recent sad case of an individual in academia and St Petersburg elite claiming to be Napoleon. That guy murdered his young lover in a horrific scene.
Politics has always been fueled by the fight for power. The new proposed constitutional reform would have been a great opportunity for the unification of the opposition. Or an opportunity for the CIA to possibly engage in covert action to benefit the opposition and create a strong uprising against Putin’s regime. It could have even constituted the criteria for a new revolution of the century in Russia.
Thus far, the so called opposition and Navalny have been silent. The parties and individuals who advocated for the cabinet resignation got their wish. Nevertheless, the key players were again re-appointed to the same portfolios.
In thoery, it would be the perfect time for all of the opposition factions to unite with a common goal in mind: to have a change of power in Russia.
If you examine the Russian constitution, the consensus would be that it is merely there but not implemented. In comparison, in the US the Constitution is almost gospel. Ask any of the populous in Russia to quote amendments in the constitution and most would come up empty handed.
Historically, there is only one way that power transfers in Russia. Putin will be replaced when he dies, and that will likely be in his old age and of natural causes. The new leader won’t be announced in advance ever.
Looking closer at the new cabinet appointments, one half are re-appointed from Putin’s inner circle of supporters. The other half is the new generation group, all around 40 years old. Hence, when Putin’s inner circle retires or passes on, the younger anointed one within a group will continue with Putin’s goals.
The regime will not change, but will only shift to the new generation. Putin’s ideology, based on Stalin with some blended ambitions of the Czar Peter I, is a clear indication of permanency. The path is clear. There is no opposition to Putin. The farce of the referendum will make a mockery out of democratic principles. The century is Putin’s Russia and even when he exits, his regime will continue on, the same way the Soviet Union was able to survive until 1991.