This week, Durig Capital looks at a company providing private prison services for governmental agencies both domestically and abroad. Geo Group, Inc. (NYSE:GEO) is one of only a handful of private prison service companies. With the election of President Trump, private prison companies have gotten a boost due to more stringent prosecutions as directed by our new attorney general, as well as Trump’s zero tolerance policies on immigration. The company’s first quarter 2019 results reflect this new political climate (above).
Geo Group is awaiting decisions from the Federal Bureau of Prisons on two procurements (CAR 18 and CAR 19) that total close to 12,000 beds. If these decisions come back in favor of Geo Group, the company would likely again increase its current guidance (as it just did with the release of its first quarter results). Geo Group’s 2023 bonds, couponed at 5.125%, are currently trading at a discount, giving them an enticing yield-to-maturity of over 9%. With the most recent increase in guidance and the possibility of more on the way, these short-term maturity bonds (maturing in only 44 months) are an ideal addition to Durig Capital’s Fixed Income 2 (FX2) High Yield Managed Income Portfolio, the aggregated performance of which is shown below.