This week, Durig Capital looks at an oil producer who has built its company using non-traditional production techniques. Denbury Resources (NYSE:DNR) has been successfully using enhanced oil recovery (EOR) techniques to build its name in the world of tertiary oil production. The company had a fantastic 2018 as well as a solid first quarter.
Beyond Belief… this may be the most fascinating debt instrument we have ever reviewed.
Rising with the price of gold, the cash flow and yield of Gran Colombia Gold’s senior secured “Gold Notes” appears to be headed straight into the land of unbelief. Perhaps what we see here is either wrong… or something in this picture seems to have quietly escaped the attention or the view of most other investors in the high yield bond market. Granted, this is not a straightforward and easily understood issue because of the quarterly interest boost linked to its amortized quarterly redemption of principle when the price of gold is higher 1250 per ounce. However, it is precisely this “hard to be understood” feature that is driving its current push into the land of dreams.
For this week’s bond review, Durig Capital ventures into the auto world to look at one of the leading auto rental companies in the U.S. and around the world. Hertz Global (NYSE:HTZ) had a fantastic 2018 and 2019 looks to be shaping up much the same.
- First quarter 2019 is the seventh consecutive quarter the company has recorded year-over-year growth.
- Total revenues were up 2% (during one the company’s historically slow quarters), up 4% on a constant currency basis.
- Revenues in the U.S. grew by 7%.
- Cash flow provided by operating activities grew by 28% over first quarter 2018.
- First quarter 2019 interest coverage of 3.4x.
This week, Durig Capital ventures into the telecom space to look at one of the country’s major telecommunications services providers. Frontier Communications (NASDAQ: FTR) has been working hard to transform itself as cable, voice and internet usage continues to change and evolve. The company’s most recent quarter highlights some of its progress as well as actions Frontier is taking to remain competitive.
(all price quotes are in Canadian Dollars, CAD)
This week, Durig Capital looks at a company that focuses on children’s content and brands. DHX Media (TSX: DHX; NASDAQ: DHXM) is the company behind such well-known names as Peanuts, Teletubbies, Inspector Gadget and the Degrassi franchise. With children spending more time viewing content not only through traditional television and cable, but also on various devices with online streaming capabilities, DHX is looking to optimize its proprietary children’s content through various channels. Having acquired the rights to the Peanuts brand a few years ago, the company is now starting to realize revenues from this iconic brand through licensing agreements with retailers like Lands’ End, Baskin Robbins, Tupperware, Levi’s and Macy’s just to name a few.
This week, Durig Capital takes a look at a unique oil and gas producer. California Resources Corporation (CRC) produces oil, natural gas and natural gas liquids (NGL) strictly within the state of California. Most people know that California is one of the largest states (physically) in the U.S. But most probably don’t know that it represents the world’s 5th largest economy. Against this backdrop, CRC produces oil, natural gas and NGLs and sells all of it in the state of California. This looks to be a great situation for CRC – a local buyer for all of its product and a huge appetite for more. CRC, a spinoff of Occidental Petroleum in 2014, has spent the past few years recovering from the oil doldrums of 2016 and it looks to be on the upswing. Some of the highlights from its most recent quarterly results in bullet points above.
This week, Durig Capital looks at one of the leading producers of steel products in the United States. AK Steel has been working diligently over the past few years to increase its competitiveness in the marketplace. Its design of its own ultra high-strength steel (UHSS) has produced excitement amongst the company’s automotive customer base. In addition, AK Steel’s acquisition of Precision Partners a few years ago has been very lucrative as that acquisition has now resulted in approximately $50 million in additional future revenues. The company recently released its first quarter results for 2019. Amongst some of the highlights:
This week, Durig Capital takes a look at an industrial designer, manufacturer and marketer of aftermarket parts for light vehicles, commercial trucks and other industrial uses. Tenneco Inc. recently posted a fantastic fourth quarter and full year results in large part due to its recent acquisition of Federal-Mogul. Highlights include:
Later this year, Tenneco will create two separate, market leading companies from its acquisition of Federal-Mogul. Federal-Mogul brings strong brands, products and capabilities that are complementary to Tenneco’s portfolio. Creating two new product focused companies with stronger product portfolios will allow each of them to move faster in executing on their specific growth priorities.
This week, Durig Capital reviews the largest underground gold and silver producer in Colombia. Gran Colombia Gold has staged an amazing transformation from just a short three years ago, when Durig Capital began to carefully follow this issuer. After completing a well-timed and skillfully crafted restructure of its balance sheet early in 2018, the company has consistently continued to smash its production targets, and has once again impressed us with its most recent results for the fourth quarter and full-year 2018.
This week, Durig Capital reviews a Canadian heavy haul transportation and crane company. Entrec Corporation provides heavy haul transportation and crane solutions to the oil and gas, construction and power generation industries, among others. Entrec’s most recent results for both its fourth quarter and full year 2018 showcase healthy growth in the company’s U.S. operations. And given the volatility in oil and gas late last year, the company’s results are even more impressive.
This week, Durig Capital reviews a traditional print-based marketing company that is undergoing a transformation. Quad Graphics (recently rebranded to just Quad) is in the midst of implementing its Quad Transformation 3.0 plan. This plan is helping to add core marketing expertise to the company’s service offerings. This has been accomplished mainly through acquisitions. The company’s most recent financial results show some of the progress on this plan.
This week, Durig Capital takes a look at a company that provides communications services for consumers and businesses across the U.S. Frontier Communications has spent most of 2018 making progress on its transformation initiatives that are designed to reduce costs, increase profitability and improve the balance sheet. The company recently released its fourth quarter and full year results for 2018. The company is showing progress on its initiatives.
Frontier Communications’ April 2022 bonds are currently trading at a significant discount, giving them an outstanding yield-to-maturity of about 23%. These bonds provide investors with an excellent opportunity for diversification into the essential service of internet connection. Considering Frontier’s solid free cash flow and excellent interest coverage, these 2022 bonds make an ideal addition to Durig Capital’s Fixed Income 2 (FX2) High Yield Managed Income Portfolio, which historically, has done well in a rising interest rate environment, shown below.
This week, Durig Capital takes a look at a company that provides compressions services and equipment for the oil and gas industry. CSI Compressco (CCLP) has had multiple successive quarters where the company has increased revenues and its latest quarter did not disappoint. Included with this increase were several other notable achievements.
With the continued demand for LNG and the current and planned LNG terminals in the U.S. and Canada, CSI Compressco looks to be perfectly positioned to take advantage of this demand. In light of the company’s solid performance in 2018, the company’s short-term bonds maturing 2022 are an ideal candidate for additional weighting in Durig Capital’s Fixed Income 2 (FX2) High Yield Managed Income Portfolio, shown below.
Informa Investment Solutions (Informa) recently benchmarked the performance of Durig Capital’s FX2 Portfolio Strategy against its peer group of over 200 in short term fixed income on it’s PSN database and found that as of Q4, 2018, Durig’s FX2 was in ranked 1st in Trailing 2, 3, 5, and Since Inception Return Periods.
This week’s bond review focuses on one of the nation’s largest publicly traded hospital companies. Community Health Systems, Inc. (NYSE: CYH). CYH has spent the past few years divesting hospitals in an effort to reshape its portfolio towards urban and suburban markets. The company continues to make that shift and has now added urgent care centers in some of those markets to help drive additional patients to its hospitals. Its fourth quarter and full-year 2018 results look to be an indicator that the transformation is gaining a foothold.
This week, Durig Capital looks at a longtime company that has adopted a new name to reflect its new direction. Pyxus International, formerly Alliance One, is well into its “One Tomorrow” transformation plan, where it has added new products to its product base of leaf tobacco. The company has entered into producing e-liquids, cannabis and cannabis related products.
This week’s bond review delves into the retail sector with a specialty retailer of durable consumer goods who also offers its customers financing on their purchases. Conn’s Inc., which is headquartered in Texas, has a market presence that stretches across the southern United States. Conn’s set some records in its most recent quarterly results (third quarter for its fiscal year 2019).
- Record third quarter retail gross margin of 41.2%
- Record quarterly credit segment revenues of $89.9 million.
- For the first nine months of fiscal year 2019, the company registered its second highest nine month operating income ever
- Excellent interest coverage of 2.4x.
This week, Durig Capital looks to the healthcare industry, where a medical supply logistics provider has made some key acquisitions to broaden its revenue sources. Over the past 18 months, Owens & Minor has acquired Byram Healthcare, a direct to patient medical supply distributor, along with Halyard’s surgical and infection prevention (S&IP) business. Combined, these two acquisitions are slated to add $1.45 billion in annual revenues for Owens & Minor. The company’s last reported quarterly results (third quarter 2018) show revenue growth coming through these most recent additions.
This week, Durig Capital reviews its own version on a time-proven investment strategy. The “Dogs of the Dow” investment strategy was introduced by Michael B. Higgins in the early 1990’s as a simple way for investors to design a portfolio around the “dogs” of the broader Dow index, and re-balance it annually. Durig Capital has created its own version on this investment strategy which has historically resulted in a less volatile portfolio and has produced excellent returns since its inception in June 2017.
Since its inception (June 6, 2017) Durig’s “Dogs of the DOW” Portfolio has generated a total return of 14.26% (as of January 22, 2019). Over the same time period, the greater Dow index generated a return of 11.37%. So, Durig’s “Dogs of the DOW” portfolio returned 25% more than the index.
Most notably, during the selloff in the fourth quarter of 2018, Durig’s portfolio was down -5.23% while the greater Dow index was down -11.30%. These figures are as of January 22, 2019.
Year-to-date in 2019, the Durig portfolio was up 1.56%, while the greater Dow index was up 4.71% (as of January 22, 2019). This statistic, along with the results from fourth quarter 2018 illustrate the portfolio’s reduced volatility.
This week, Durig Capital ventures to the technology sector to review an issuer involved in the design and manufacture of semiconductors. Magnachip Semiconductor (NYSE:MX) has been around for over 30 years and is the largest independent supplier of OLED display drivers to panel makers for smartphones. The company’s latest reported quarterly results (three months ending September 30, 2018) were excellent.
Adjusted EBITDA increased 13% year-over-year.
Gross profits were up 10.8% over the prior year period.
Operating income increased by 17.9% over Q3 2017.
Revenues were up 16.6% year-over-year and were at the highest levels since Q4 2012.
Interest coverage over 3x for the third quarter.
This week, Durig Capital takes a look at a leading marine transportation company. Teekay Corporation provides marine transportation, storage, and vessel leasing for the oil and natural gas industry. The company’s third quarter saw increases in its subsidiaries revenues over second quarter. Here are some highlights from its third quarter results.
Teekay Tankers nearly doubled its quarterly revenues from the prior year period.
Teekay Corporation recorded adjusted cash flow from vessel operations of $19.8 million as compared to $1.2 million a year earlier.
Teekay LNG revenues increased to $123.3 million as compared to $104.3 million a year earlier.
This week, Durig Capital reviews a bond from an issuer that was snapped up a few years ago by one of the most enigmatic figures in corporate America. In late 2016, SolarCity was acquired by Elon Musk’s company, Tesla. The acquisition made sense- combine the maker of electric cars and energy storage with a company that produces solar panels that produce energy (seemingly to ultimately charge Tesla’s vehicles). Tesla has since integrated SolarCity’s products into the Tesla portfolio. Tesla’s most recent reported quarter (Q3 2018) was truly historical.
Free cash flow of $881 million.
Operating income of $417 million
Cash flow from operations of $1.4 billion.
Interest coverage in Q3 of 2.4x.
This week’s bond review ventures into the auto world, specifically car rentals. Hertz is one of the leading auto rental companies in the U.S. and around the world. The company recently posted its financial results for its third quarter, presenting solid evidence that the 2017 Transformation Plan is continuing to bear fruit. Some of the company’s excellent Q3 results include the following:
A 52% increase in in global net income.
U.S. adjusted corporate EBITDA increased by 25% year-over-year.
Revenues for U.S. operations also increased 10% year-over-year.
This week, Durig Capital takes a second look at an iconic cosmetic company that is continuing to refine its market strategy. Revlon, founded in 1932, has been identified with some of Hollywood’s biggest stars over the years. The company, under the direction of a new President and CEO, has recently posted some fantastic results for the third quarter including:
Adjusted operating income increased by 82% year-over-year.
A 35% increase in Adjusted EBITDA.
An increase in e-commerce sales of 23%.
Significant sales increases in China as well as North America.
This week’s bond review looks at a diversified conglomerate that has been reshaping its portfolio of companies to grow and increase synergies. Griffon Corporation has spent the past few years strengthening its business segments, particularly its Home and Building Products segment, acquiring leading brands like ClosetMaid and CornellCookson. Griffon had a fantastic third quarter. Some of the highlights include:
A 44% increase in revenues year-over-year.
Home and Building Products sales increased 59% over third quarter 2017.
Business orders for the company’s Telephonics business were up 30% year-over-year.
The Defense Electronics segment has accumulated Contract backlog of $346 million.
Durig Capital’s FX2: Bond Investing with Equity-like Returns
Stocks versus bonds – which is the better investment? This is a highly individual question and depends on the goals of the investor. For most investors, getting the best return with the least amount of risk is a goal worth striving for. But what is the best way to do this? While stocks have generally outperformed bonds, there are exceptions to the rule. Consider Durig Capital’s FX2 Managed Income Portfolio.
This portfolio’s 3-year trailing return has handily beat the S&P 500 index.
Not only has its returns exceeded that of the S&P 500 index, it has done so with roughly half the risk (volatility).
Morningstar claimed that FX2 was the top performing Fixed Income SMA among its peer group in the last significant interest rate spike of 2016.
Additionally, Morningstar has ranked Durig Captial’s FX2 portfolio as the top performing Fixed Income SMA for Trailing 1-year, 3-year, and 5-year returns, as well as for Q1 and Q2 of 2018, amongst a peer group of over 800 SMA’s.
Informa ranked FX2 1st in performance in 1,2,3 and 5 year return categories, as well as since inception, as compared to its peers in Short-Term Fixed Income.
Durig’s FX2 Portfolio – Third Quarter Rankings from Informa
Informa Investment Solutions Bench Ranked 1st in Performance Durig Capital’s Fixed Income 2 (FX2) Portfolio against its peer group of short term fixed income in it’s PSN database.
Here is how Durig’s FX2 Portfolio was Ranked Third Quarter of 2018:
Durig Capital Rank
Number of Competitors
This week, Durig Capital looks to the skies as it reviews an issuer that is focused on the design and manufacture of aircraft parts and systems. Triumph Group has spent the past few years shedding non-core business assets, consolidating locations and streamlining its operations with an eye to cost reductions. Its latest quarterly results showcase its progress on this journey. Its fiscal year 2019 first quarter results included the following:
A 6.5% increase in net sales as compared to Q1 FY 2018
An increase of 126% in adjusted EBITDA as compared to the prior year period.
Interest coverage was an outstanding 2.3x for Q1
Triumph Group is projecting a 5% increase in net sales in FY 2019.
Backlog increased by 5% over the previous year period.
Diversification is the word this week as Durig Capital takes a second look at the number two grocer in the United States. Albertsons recently posted its first quarter results for fiscal year 2018. The company showcased some impressive financials including the following:
Adjusted EBITDA of $815.8 million, an increase of 5.7% year-over-year.
39% increase in net cash provided by operating activities.
108% increase in e-commerce sales.
Interest coverage of nearly 3x.
Durig’s FX2 Portfolio – Helping to Solve Your Income Needs
Performance Review of Durig’s FX2 Portfolio
- Morningstar’s Top Performing Fixed Income SMA in Trailing 1, 3 & 5 Year Returns, Q1 2018, Q2 2018
- Up 10.94% YTD
- Up 12.64% Trailing 1 Year Return
- Up 17.54% Trailing 3 Year Return
- Up 9.59% Trailing 5 Year Return
This week, Durig Capital takes a look at a 130-year old company, whose name is synonymous with direct selling. Avon Products is now a global manufacturer and distributor of a wide range of beauty products. The company’s recently posted its most recent quarterly results. Some of the highlights include:
A 62% increase in operating profit.
The company’s average order was up 6%.
- Operating margin was up 160 basis points over last year’s Q2.
This week’s bond focus takes a third look at a global specialty retailer of health and wellness products. Durig Capital’s last review of GNC discussed the Harbin China deal. While that deal is currently awaiting regulatory approval, GNC has since reported its second quarter results. The company continues to report successes in several areas.
Q2 international segment sales increased 11% year-over-year.
E-commerce sales increased by 8.3%
The company’s myGNC and ProRewards customer loyalty programs grew 14% and 8.8% respectively over Q1 levels.
Q2 interest coverage was a healthy 1.8x.
This week, Durig Capital looks to the healthcare sector where a specialty pharmaceutical company has posted solid back-to-back quarters resulting in increased guidance for 2018. As a result of Mallinckrodt Pharmaceuticals’ performance in both Q1 and Q2, company management has raised 2018 guidance citing solid performance across its product lines. Some of the highlights from Mallinckrodt’s Q2 numbers include:
Q2 cash flows from operating activities grew by 17.6% over the same period last year.
Net sales increased 5.3% year-over-year.
Adjusted Gross Profit increased by 8.4%
Year-to-date debt reduction of $535.2 million
Interest coverage over 2x for the first six months of 2018.
This week, Durig Capital looks again at Parker Drilling, a company that provides contract drilling / drilling related services and rental tools to the oil industry. (Durig Capital reviewed Parker Drilling in June 2015). Having survived the unprecedented declines in oil prices over the past three years, Parker Drilling has emerged as a leaner, more competitive company. Its most recent quarterly results show a company that continues to perform.
Q2 adjusted EBITDA growth of 39% year over year.
Consecutive quarterly revenue growth of 8.1%.
Gross margin as a percentage of revenues increased to 22.8%, up from 16.5% in Q1.
Q2 interest coverage ratio of 2.4x.
This week’s bond review shines a light on the solar industry, focusing on the second largest solar company by revenues. Canadian Solar has experienced outstanding growth over the past few years, with revenues growing by nearly 19% between 2016 and 2017. In addition, the company is projecting revenue growth this year of over 35% over last year. Growth has been driven by the large demands in China in recent years, but also increased demand in countries such as Brazil, Mexico and India. Canadian Solar’s first quarter results show the company is off to a solid start this year.
Gross profit in Q1 increased 57% over Q1 2017.
Net revenue in Q1 was up an impressive 110.5% from Q1 2017.
Operating expenses and general and administrative expenses both decreased year-over-year in Q1.
Interest coverage for Q1 was a solid 2.6x.
This week’s bond review delves into the retail sector with a specialty retailer of durable consumer goods who also offers its customers financing on their purchases. Conn’s Inc., which is headquartered in Texas, has a market presence that stretches across the southern United States. It’s most recent quarterly results show a company registering wins from a multi-year planned strategic repositioning. Total operating income increased by 62.3% over the prior year period. In addition, Conn’s posted a record quarterly retail gross margin of 39.6%. The company’s credit segment had positive outcomes as well, generating its first positive operating income in four years as credit revenues grew over 8% year over year. Conn’s continues to grow, opening two new stores in its most recent quarter, with more scheduled for this fiscal year. The company’s 2022 bonds are in demand right now, with a yield-to-maturity of about 7.18%. This competitive yield as well as the opportunity for diversification into the retail sector, makes these bonds a smart addition for Durig Capital’s Fixed Income 2 (FX2) Managed Income Portfolio, the recent performance of which is shown below.
Performance Review of Durig Capital’s Fixed Income 2 (FX2) Managed Income Portfolio
Up 9.70% YTD
Up 16.91% Trailing 1 Year Return
Up 15.09% Trailing 3 Year Return
Up 9.61% Trailing 5 Year Return
This week’s bond review revisits the parent company of a beloved family entertainment restaurant that has a long and distinguished history in the childhood of many Americans. CEC Entertainment is the parent company of Chuck E. Cheese as well as Peter Piper Pizza. The company recently posted results from its first quarter 2018.
This week, Durig Capital takes another look at one of two publicly held global leaf tobacco merchants. The last review of Alliance One earlier this year revealed that the company had made its entrance into the e-cigarette market through its acquisition on Purilum, an e-liquids producer. Now Alliance One is taking further steps to diversify its product offerings into both the cannabis and industrial hemp markets. Additionally, the company recently released its Q4 and FY 2018 results. Fiscal year 2018 recorded improvements over the previous year, including: