- Turkish military staying an additional time in Libya.
- Erdogan support for Ungurs, will bring China and Russia to unify against the Turkey.
- Erdogan wants Central Asian nations to join.
Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan has been contemplating the idea to create the “Turk” military political block. The strategic decision has been made, after interference in the Nagorno Karabakh conflict, which resulted in the gain for the Azerbaijan.
At present, there is ceasefire agreement in place between Russia, Azerbaijan and Armenia. The agreement allows Russia to be in the Nagorno Karabakh to conduct the peacekeeping operations.
According to Erdogan, Turkey won in the conflict backing the Azerbaijan. In turn, the conflict escalation pushed Armenia closer Russia. There are discussions for Armenia to join Russia and Nikol Pashinyan resignation is on the table as well.
NATO should take a closer look at the Erdogan agenda, as it could pose an issue for the Western interests in the Mediterranean, Middle East and the Central Asia.
The North Atlantic Treaty Organization, also called the North Atlantic Alliance, is an intergovernmental military alliance between 30 European and North American countries. The organization implements the North Atlantic Treaty that was signed on 4 April 1949.
Furthermore, Turkey recently extended the presence of the Turkish forces in Libya. According to a decree from President Recep Tayyip Erdogan, Turkish military personnel will be stationed in Libya for the next 18 months.
Moreover, Erdogan keeps mentioning the restoration of the “historical justice”. The terminology was first heard, during the victory parade in the Azerbaijan. Hence, the verbatim meaning is to resurrect the Ottoman Empire. The Ottoman Empire was one of the bloodiest in history, which included raping and murdering the European women.
Thus far, Erdogan is attempting to use the social engineering propaganda to entice the smaller nations in the Central Asia to join Turkey.
Turkey is trying to cause unrest in China, by empowering the Ungur separatists. Erdogan wants “One people-Five States” Alliance. Turkmenistan is seemingly interested to join the discussions and recently signed military and political memorandum of understanding with Turkey.
Turkmenistan is also poised to start manufacturing the Turkish armored vehicles. The batch of Turkish military equipment was also transferred to the armed forces of Kyrgyzstan. Uzbekistan is also interested in the Turkish cooperation.
Erdogan will have very challenging time amalgamating “five” states, especially since Uzbekistan and Kyrgyzstan continue to have tensions.
Nevertheless, Russia can simply cut off tourism to Turkey. Additionally, Turkey can be removed from NATO. France and Greece has been advocating for the Turkish expulsion from NATO, due to Erdogan rogue behavior in the Mediterranean.
The Turkish economy is in trouble and the Turkish military could not win against Russia. Erdogan support for Ungurs, will bring China and Russia to unify against the Turkey.
It is not out of the question, the coup can be staged in Turkey. Additionally, if Turkish alliance is created, it could carve a small place for Turkey on the international arena and shift the geopolitical balance.
Overall, the nations of the Central Asia are eager to receive the Turkish military equipment under the favorable conditions, but accepting Turkey is their leader is highly unlikely.
These nations already have their own corrupt politicians, who enjoy their status and power. Giving up the power is not in the cards for these politicians. Lastly, the agreements with Russia will not give carte blanche to join Turkey.
In conclusion, Erdogan is trying to crate a Turkish version of the NATO. Financially, Turkey is not capable of sustaining the proposed alliance, nor does Erdogan have enough clout. It would also mean leaving NATO.
This fall sanctions have been imposed on the Turkey for purchasing Russian defense equipment. Erdogan is becoming a pest and sooner or later, he will be put back in his place either by an American president or the president of Russia Vladimir Putin.