- It is obvious that Russia is capable of using force.
- The Russian populous believes that Russia needs military power only to protect itself from its enemies.
- For the Russian populace, sanctions are nothing new.
Russia and the President, Vladimir Putin, have been on the forefront of the Western news. A large amount of the attention on Russia stems from the Alexei Navalny poisoning in August. However, it has not been conclusive who is behind the poisoning. While the West glorifies Navalny as an opposition martyr, he is far from such.
In fact, his character alone is flawed, and his assets are questionable. Nevertheless, for the Western geopolitical interests, he serves a purpose. It is not any different from how Edward Snowden ended up in Russia.
Furthermore, due to the latest round of sanctions, it is important to assess the Russian capabilities. It is obvious that Russia is capable of using force. The success of force has been presented during the Syrian scenario in 2015.
For example, China has not been successful in combat, arguably, since the Second World War. Russia will use force when it sees fit. The third derivative of force fails, although taking into account the power that Russia has, it must act flawlessly.
Moreover, the Russian populous believes that Russia needs military power only to protect itself from its enemies. At the same time, even a cursory glance at the structure of the armed forces shows that if this thesis is true, it is at least in a fairly broad sense.
Nevertheless, the classic move of force demonstration and capabilities is to have military training exercises. Russia definitely demonstrates a high degree of combat readiness to the whole world.
Ongoing exercises using the forces of entire military districts, the transfer of large forces from one part of the country to another, and sometimes even abroad, training exercises on a thousand-kilometer operational area with the use of thousands of pieces of equipment.
As of late, Russia also announced the multitude of the “super” weapons. It should be noted that many have flaws and had issues during testing, including the loss of life.
However, it is unclear if Russia will escalate the use of force or the use of proxies. In fact, the question is extremely vague. There is no vision that the paradigm of minimizing power participation in the resolution of basic issues has at least some serious radical change. This is part of an established tradition.
The expectation of a decrease in the activity of the main competitors in international relations, such as the United States and the European Union. This comes against the background of the very tumultuous year entering into the US presidential election on November 3, 202o. Additionally, the final exit of the UK from the EU is scheduled for January 1, 2021.
Overall, the most important means in politics are those that are not achieved by military means. War is a set of measures aimed at capturing other people’s natural, energy, and human resources. This does not always happen with the help of military force.
It is plausible to expect Russia to retaliate with the list of its own sanctions. The sanctions are not new for Russia.
Since the Crimea annexation, the Russian populous has leaned to live under sanctions for over six years. Therefore, the sanctions will not change the Kremlin’s trajectory.