- SVR made a statement that Turkey is actively involved in the Nagorno Karabakh conflict on behalf of Azerbaijan.
- There are foreign mercenaries fighting in the region for Azerbaijan.
- The scenario is similar to the Afrin, Syria situation.
Russia SVR made a public statement that Turkey is supporting Azerbaijan in the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict. Turkey’s open and unequivocal support for Azerbaijan is a fundamentally new external factor that affects the nature of the current aggravation of the situation in Nagorno-Karabakh, SVR head Sergey Naryshkin said to Tass.
The current aggravation of the situation causes increased concern not only for its scale, but also for the fundamentally new impact of external factors. “This is the first time that Turkey has so openly and unequivocally acted on the side of Azerbaijan,” Naryshkin said in a comment distributed by the SVR press office on Tuesday.
In addition, according to him, “the growing armed conflict in Karabakh, like a magnet, attracts militants from various international terrorist organizations.” Naryshkin noted that militants of the Jabhat al-Nusra terrorist group are being transferred to Nagorno-Karabakh.
Moreover, the SVR aid pointed out that mercenaries from the international terrorist organizations fighting in the Middle East. There a lot of radicals. Naryshkin stressed:
“We have no doubt that with the assistance of the international community, the parties to the conflict will eventually stop using force and sit down at the negotiating table.”
For Russia, such activity is unacceptable to have a conflict escalation in the Caucasus region.
The press secretary for the President of Russia, Dmitry Peskov, commented on Moscow’s position on the military conflict in Nagorno-Karabakh. According to him, Russia is one of the countries that can mediate in the settlement of the conflict, but we should not expect more active actions from Russia now.
“It is difficult to imagine more active steps than now,” Mr. Peskov said when asked by Kommersant FM during a press call. He said that Moscow’s efforts are now focused on helping countries de-escalate the conflict.
Additionally, the situation in Nagorno-Karabakh is very similar to what happened to Kurds in Afrin, Syria. The playbook is very similar to what Turkey used in Syria. It includes cutting off main infrastructure arteries like Stepankert.
The Azeri side started isolation of the area since October 2. There are also proxies fighting in Azerbaijan. Therefore, there are no direct losses to the Turkish forces. However, Azerbaijan and Armenia both sustained casualties as a result of the conflict escalation.
The Armenian president stated that he is willing to compromise on the Nagorno-Karabakh situation, but only if Azerbaijan does the same. The Nagorno Karabakh conflict does not have a military solution for the both sides.
The resolution of this conflict would bring much more bonuses to the Armenians than to the Azerbaijanis. At present, the Armenian position will make any negotiations in the future very challenging.
The situation continues to be challenging and it would be difficult to find a plausible solution for both sides.