This week Russia will host a Russia-Africa summit from October 23-24. The purpose of the summit is to promote Russian initiatives in Africa. There are 54 countries on the African continent and 47 of the nations confirmed their attendance. Russian’s official strategy pertaining to Africa will be unveiled at the summit.
Russian military officials are voicing concerns over the humanitarian crisis in Syria due to Turkish involvement. Turkey started an operation against the Kurds on October 9, 2019 under the guise of “counterterrorism.” The Kurdish population of Syria is that country’s largest ethnic minority, comprising between 7% and 10% of the population. Kurds are one of the indigenous peoples of the Mesopotamian plains and the highlands in what is now south-eastern Turkey, north-eastern Syria, northern Iraq, north-western Iran and south-western Armenia.
A beyond-line-of-sight land battlefield missile project has been signed by the ministers of defense of Belgium, Cyprus and France. The purpose of the project is to create a new category of missiles for integration with an extensive variety of platforms (ground-to-ground and air-to-ground) and to provide integrated and autonomous target designation capability as per the project description.
The US has announced plans to send forces to Saudi Arabia in the wake of attacks against the country’s oil infrastructure. Historically, before a war there is a provocation. However, looking at the attack trajectory, there are a few odd details in the scenario.
Since the latest announcement of Belarus joining Russia with the unification of borders and financial systems, it is clear Vladimir Putin’s appetite for the resurrection of the Soviet Union is here. This century’s iron curtain is Russia’s version of the intranet that will cut off all western media sources unless approved by Roskomnadzor (Federal Service for Supervision of Communications, Information Technology and Mass Media).
Russia and Belarus are creating a unified economic confederacy, the information was leaked to Komersant this week. Interestingly enough the owner of the newspaper is Alisher Usmanov, a Russian oligarch. Usmanov owns the Kommersant publishing house. He is also a co‑owner of Russia’s second-largest mobile telephone operator, MegaFon, and co-owner of the Mail.Ru group, the largest internet company in the Russian-speaking world. His family is very close to Putin’s inner circle and heavily involved in Russian politics. Hence, the leak is not coincidental, but a planned media release.
The Saudi monarchy experienced attacks against their oil production facilities in the last week. Tensions in the Middle East escalated following the drone attacks on the two largest oil facilities in Saudi Arabia. Yemen’s Houthi rebels claimed responsibility for the attacks.
The global economic impact will be felt, since Saudi Arabia lost more than half of their crude output via the attacks. The nation is the number one oil producer in the world, holds 5% of the global oil supply, and cut output by 5.7 million barrels per day. last year, Aramco’s net income was $111.1 billion.
Recently, discussion has increased in Russia about creating an anti-Putin coalition. The real politics is the fight for power. The Kremlin is in control, allowing some opposition. Once the opposing individual becomes inconvenient, the raids come in tow. The prime example would be recent raids of Alexei Navalny’s party offices across Russia under the guise of a “money laundering” investigation. As it stands there is no true opposition in Russia. None of the protests on the weekends matter and elections are a sham.
Russia is trying to re-establish allies from the Soviet Era in Latin America. The current focus on Nicaragua is largely due to the president José Daniel Ortega Saavedra. He has been a Nicaraguan leader since 2007. Ortega is serving his third consecutive term as president. The constitution had to be changed to allow Ortega to run for the past two terms. Ortega was also the president of Nicaragua during the Soviet Era from 1985 to 1990.
Recent Russian elections show stable results for Putin. All of Putin’s governors won but the St. Petersburg race was a tough one to win for his party. The Moscow City Duma (Russian regional parliament) is a puppet entity, and unlike other cities does not even pass its own budget. This year pro Navalny supporters entered races on the municipal level. Alexey Navlany is an opposition leader and has fled Russia. Russian state security services have carried out nationwide raids on the Kremlin critic’s regional headquarters four days after the elections claiming they’re investigating “money laundering.” Navalny got lucky and used a drone to keep the sensitive hard drive information safe from the Russian State forces.
This week the US State Department re-activated military aid to Ukraine in the amount of $140 million. The purpose of the aid is for Ukraine to be able to maintain its independence and sovereignty. However, the conflict within the Donbas region continues and has entered a slow phase without any resolutions.
China continues its anti-US propaganda using media, including the topic of the possibility of a US-Russia war and a blatant overstatement of Russian defense arsenal superiority in comparison to the US. In an article posted on SOHU (one of the largest internet companies in China) they claim Russia can overpower the US in the defense sector and that Russia is the only country globally who can successfully rebuff the US.
A document compilation entitled “Fragile World in the Doorstep of War” was just released by Russia’ central military archive. It contains an assessment of the war threat to the Soviet Union with unique information hand written by Boris Shaposhnikov. He was a Soviet military commander, Chief of the Staff of the Red Army, and Marshal of the Soviet Union. The letter was addressed to Kliment Voroshilov, who was a prominent Soviet military officer and politician during the Stalin era, and describes each nation and its threat level to the Soviet Union.
A mystery surrounds the recent disappearance of GEOMAR’s Boknis Eck Observatory and research station (weighing 1,630 lbs) from the bottom of the Baltic Sea. By all indications, the station has been stolen. The primary function of the station, whose location was undisclosed, was to collect environmental data from the ocean floor and transmit information to the researchers.
Russian media continues to run pro-China propaganda and justifications for the use of force against demonstrators in Hong Kong. The unrest in the former British colony has been ongoing for the past four months. Demonstrators wearing black face masks became the new heroes and modern day revolutionaries, protesting against China’s brutal arrest and prosecution system.
Last Friday, August 23, the murder of a Georgian national occurred in Germany’s Kleiner Tiergarten Park. The central district of Tiergarten is known for many public attractions, including the Berlin Zoo. The shooting took place at approximately 12 p.m. and the shots were fired at close range. Witnesses described an assailant shooting a victim twice in the head from behind before fleeing on a bicycle.
A new Ukrainian media campaign could be a provocation to the United States. Last week a documentary aired on Ukrainian TV Channel News One with an agenda to discredit US efforts at democracy in Ukraine.
The scenario resembles Afghanistan and recent statements by the former Afghan President Hamid Karzai who claimed the US is trying to meddle in the upcoming September 28, 2019 presidential elections there. The former Afghan president is insinuating that Afghan citizens have no influence over who the US installs into the executive office.
Brexit is the withdrawal of the United Kingdom from the European Union, after the referendum held on 23 June 2016. The HBO documentary Brexit depicts the behind the scenes experience of the referendum. The UK is a constitutional monarchy with a parliamentary system of governance that is based off of the Westminster system. Executive power rests in the hands of Her Majesty’s Government, the prime minister and the cabinet who are all members of the Privy Council. Legislative power is held within the bicameral parliament, the House of Commons and the House of Lords, the former being elected and the later appointed.
The majority of all global conflicts are connected to oil. The map below provides the current oil resources available globally. The power of the Black Gold and greed has been overriding human lives for close to 100 years. The first large scale demand for petroleum was documented in the 1880s due to kerosene been derived from petroleum.
The 45th G7 (Group of Seven) Summit is being held from August 24–26, 2019, in Biarritz, France. The Group of Seven consists of the US, Canada, United Kingdom, France, Germany, Italy and Japan. France has identified the following main objectives for the 2019 Summit:
The latest tragedy was an explosion at the Nenoksa Missile Test Site near Severodvink, a region in northern Russia. Indeed, as many as fifteen may have been harmed in the accident, seven died. A clear notice was issued to ships that they could not enter a 250-square kilometer area close to the accident. The innuendos followed in the Western media and experts put forth theories around it is being Burevestnik, claiming the explosion is due to the testing of a nuclear powered cruise missile. According to NATO the classification is SSC X-9 Skyfall (Russian classification 9M730-Burevestnik).
Hong Kong is presently experiencing a political crisis. Large scale use of law enforcement and military is being used to disperse the protesters. However, the system itself is failing and it will lead to additional protests. Historically, an achievement of the Freudo-Marxists was the quantum leap through the rationalistic outlook which had dominated in the Marxist tradition. Furthermore, the escalation of the crisis in Hong Kong is inevitable due to the bygone times and political reality of the Chinese territory.
Former Afghan President Hamid Karzai recently made striking accusations against the United States. Karzai is claiming the US is trying to meddle in the upcoming September 28, 2019 presidential elections. The former Afghan president is insinuating that Afghan citizens have no influence over who the US installs into the executive office. These allegations may cause a new round of tensions in Afghanistan, and at a time where international peace negotiators are trying to organize a treaty that will allow an exit for the US led peacekeeping coalition.
In recent days, the Chinese media has been glorifying Russia and its various national and international accomplishments. Since all media is government run and there is a Great Firewall of China, the only news Chinese citizens can get is through the state-run and approved outlets.
Europe will not gamble on any uncertainty in NATO. Large EU economies are putting forth a tangible effort towards sovereign and continental defense outside of their historic NATO contributions and technology is one of their focuses. Although these new efforts pale in comparison to the combined NATO size and budget, they are a sign that sovereign defense still matters in the Eurozone. One such “startup” defense initiative is France’s DIA.
Keeping in the spirit of Soviet style governance, on July 3, Russian President Putin signed into law a withdrawal from the Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces Treaty. The law was passed through the Duma (Russian Parliament) almost unanimously. The Duma is the lower house of the Federal Assembly of Russia, the upper house being the Federation Council of Russia.