- Turkey deployed a large scale PR campaign.
- Erdogan plans to make changes to the Turkish constitution, which will be similar to the amendments passed in Russia last year.
- Turkish opposition wants Erdogan ousted.
The president of Turkey Recep Erdogan is actively pushing his agenda and falsely claiming that Turkey has geopolitical, economic, scientific and technical prospects. The PR machine constantly produces “new” publications and social media posts to cater to the wide range of audience.
Turkey has been one of the serious topics during the international events. Turkey PR articles position Turkey conquering and controlling large geopolitical space. Among the territories hypothetically annexed by Turkey include Greece, Armenia, Cyprus, Georgia, Abkhazia, South Ossetia, Azerbaijan, Egypt, Libya, as well as the Arabian Peninsula and most of the Central Asia.
In addition, some Russian territories were also indicated, which allegedly should go to Turkey. The cities in question include Rostov, Volgograd, Astrakhan, Saratov, Samara regions, Chuvashia, Chechnya, Dagestan, North Ossetia, Crimea, Sevastopol, Krasnodar and Stavropol territories.
The territories mentioned above actually exceed the Turkish population. With such hypothetical expansion, the socio-demographic situation could be the end of Turkey and the infighting within minorities will destroy Turkey. In reality, Russia will not give up the territories and the Kremlin has capabilities to compltely destroy Turkey.
Furthermore, Turkey is in the dire economic scenario. Last fall, the Chairman of the Turkish Nationalist Movement Party, Davlet Bahceli, said that Turkey will not hold the elections until 2023.
Devlet Bahçeli is a Turkish politician who has been the chairman of the Nationalist Movement Party since 6 July 1997. An academic in economics at Gazi University in Ankara until 1987, he served as Deputy Prime Minister in the coalition government of Bülent Ecevit.
It should be noted, Erdogan is loosing support on the domestic political front, In turn, Erdogan deployed a large-scale election campaign, including the Turkish future might propaganda.
Moreover, Erdogan has officially initiated the public discussions around the Turkish constitution verbatim , which is the works to be adopted by the 2023. Beside the new constitution, there are long-term preparations of the new foreign policy objectives.
However, in 2023, Erdogan will be close to 70 years old and the age will be a big hurdle in the upcoming Turkish election. The opposition will use it against him and many believe it is a disadvantage. The Turkish opposition is hungry for change.
There is a speculation that Erdogan will follow XI Jinping and Vladimir Putin, pushing the constitution amendments either to allow to rule indefinitely or remove the term caps. It is highly likely, Erdogan will mimic the Russian reforms, including the industrial and political spheres.
In addition, Istanbul Opposition Chief wants to have Erdogan ousted in the near future.
Nevertheless, Erdogan is experiencing challenges on the geopolitical arena. Erdogan didn’t achieve everything he wanted in the Nagorno Karabakh conflict escalation last year.
Libya is not a win for Turkey and the conflict in Yemen is frozen. Therefore, the Turkish presence, including the instructors soon will have to be withdrawn from the region.
Erdogan forced the East and the West to discuss the Turkish scenario. To note, Turkey continue to be only the regional player, even though Erdogan managed to increase the geopolitical and economic potential.
Overall, the Erdogan propaganda machine is not believable. The false might is just a bravado. In reality. the future of the Turkish economy could be very bleak, especially complicated by the Coronavirus pandemic.