- US is busy with the US presidential election.
- Russia and China aggressively pursuing geopolitical interests in Africa.
- The Kremlin plans to station Russian Navy in the port of Sudan.
This year has been challenging shaping the trajectory around the world. The winner of the US presidential election will have vested interest in the US influence around the globe, including on the African continent. Currently, there is an attempt of the global geopolitical redistribution.
The timing is favorable, while US is embroiled in the US presidential election court cases until Dec 12th. The Trump administration attention is divided between domestic and global geopolitical control. Regardless, Secretary of State Mike Pompeo assured reporters that their will be a smooth transition to the 2nd Trump administration. The State Department is prepared to meet US foreign needs.
The domestic issues will resolve the US politics by January 20th at noon, Inaugural Day. If a Biden Administration prevails, they will start establishing US foreign policy in 2021.
Americans vote in the General Election in November for their state electors. These electors go to the US Electoral College on December 14th to cast their state ballots for the President.
There is nearly a month left until Dec 14th when the US Electoral College will meet to cast their ballots for the President. Time enough to resolve disputes. If these disputes are not solved through the court, or state legislatures, then the US Constitution Article 2, Section1, calls for the US Congress to nullify the election in early January and the US House of Representatives will choose the President and the Senate will choose the Vice President. Only twice in the US history has Congress chosen the President. This is the US Representative Democracy at work.
Russia and China have vested interests in Africa. Last year, Russia hosted Russia-Africa summit. During the Soviet Era, Soviets subsidized a myriad of African nations to promote communism. A myriad of the African nations are still indebted to Russia. China also holds Forum on China Africa cooperation.
Furthermore, there was a coup in Mali last year. As a result, France lost control of the Malian Uranium mines. Additionally, this perception may echo throughout West Africa, where the influence of France is likely to be shaken even more. Libya has been a point of interest. The restoration of the order in Libya continues to be a focus. Egypt and Algeria are working hard to prevent the spread of the Libyan anarchy to other African nations.
Moreover, the Kremlin recently released a document pertaining new Russian Navy base in the Sudan. Initially, the Russian Navy will be stationed at the Port of Sudan and eventually will have Russian base built. The Sudan port has a significant value. it is a strategic point in the Red sea, which provides a myriad of opportunities to work on the key trade route from the Arabian Sea to the Mediterranean, via the Suez canal.
It is an additional asset that can work well conjointly with the Syrian Tartus and the Russian technology cluster in the Suez-2 project, this is a consolidation of this trade artery.
Port of Sudan is a gateway to Africa, allowing for sea transportation to African countries to support Russian initiatives on the African continent, including in the Central African Republic and in a number of other countries.
Overall, all these developments indicate that the period of comparative calm in Africa is over. Participants in the great geopolitical and economic race are beginning to redefine the zones of influence in Africa.
A number of former “controllers”, including France and the United Kingdom, will probably be under pressure from those who want to take a practically vacant place in Africa – Russia, China, and the Arab world, hence, gaining the control of the trade routes and mineral extraction, and implementation of humanitarian and economic plans.
In conclusion, next year will be crucial for the US to hang on to the global dominance.