US Presidential Election 2020 – Sanders, Bloomberg, Trump – Who Does Russia Prefer?

  • Bernie Sanders gained a lot of momentum.
  • Joe Biden continues to trail behind.
  • Donald Trump is still Kremlin's preferred candidate.

The 2020 US election campaign is gaining momentum. Since the counting problems at the Iowa Caucuses (when the result could not be determined for more than a week), Bernie Sanders’ momentum has not slowed down. “Socialist” Bernie Sanders is accused of being a “Kremlin henchman.” Still his Democratic opponents from the right– Joe Biden and Pete Buttigieg– have been fading.

Elizabeth Warren’s electoral chances are in free fall and all the failures have attracted the mega activity of billionaire Michael Bloomberg, nicknamed “mini Mike” by Trump. Recently, Bernie won a decisive victory in Nevada.

Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders.

Bloomberg is not a politician. Bloomberg is a Corporation. Bloomberg behaves exactly as expected from a capitalist. He is willing to spend astronomical amounts on his campaign, which he can afford, being on the Forbes List of richest men.

The World’s Billionaires is an annual ranking by documented net worth of the wealthiest billionaires in the world, compiled and published in March annually by the American business magazine Forbes. The list was first published in March 1987.

It is time-tested that America does not really like billionaire politicians. Big money is always distrusted, especially among the not-so-rich community of voters. Most people believe a man with that much money will just buy everything and not care about the problems of the average American.  Of course, these are just everyday thoughts. But there is no smoke without fire.

Americans have every right to distrust Bloomberg’s billions. He also came to this election campaign later than the other candidates, which in itself raises a lot of questions. The Sanders electorate can’t stand Bloomberg.  This means that Bloomberg’s activism is a strong blow to Biden and Buttigieg. In addition, Bloomberg is 78, close in age with Sanders and Biden.

Billionaire Michael Bloomberg.

Democratic candidates are also slinging “Russia collusion” accusations at each other as well. From one prospective, there is a lot in the Russian media about Bernie Sanders, but it does not mean Russia supports him. In general, the Kremlin likes to sow discourse in the political arena.

Russia and trolls became synonymous from the last elections and general meddling into US politics. There are open ads in Russia hiring internet trolls, with offers of daily beer and snacks during so called “nightly employment” due to the time difference with US.

It seems the main strategy is to cause as much turmoil within the US Democratic Party as possible. Especially, when there is already so much dirt being thrown at one another within.

As expected, the number of Democratic candidates has decreased.  Most likely, after “Super Tuesday” on March 3rd (the day when Democrats vote in more than 10 states), Tom Steyer, Amy Klobuchar and possibly the controversial Tulsi Gabbard will leave the race.

Super Tuesday is the election day early in a United States presidential primary season (February or March) when the greatest number of states hold primary elections and caucuses. More delegates to the presidential nominating conventions can be won on Super Tuesday than on any other single day. Super Tuesday primaries and caucuses occur in many states from geographically and socially diverse regions of the country and typically represent a presidential candidate’s first test of national electability. Candidates must therefore do well on this day to help secure their party’s nomination. Convincing wins in Super Tuesday primaries usually propelled candidates for their party’s nomination.

It also seems that super delegates don’t want the nomination of Bernie Sanders and are trying to push through someone from the “system,” each of whom has their own weaknesses and is certainly not suitable for the role of uniting the Democrats.

Former Vice President Joe Biden.

The appearance of Bloomberg in the lists of Democratic candidates (and he started his campaing only in November 2019) might seem to be the “salvation” of the Democrats, but he showed such consistently negative ratings that he was soon forgotten as a serious candidate.

It is also plausible that Bloomberg will end up running as an independent candidate. At the same time, it seems Sanders takes personal pleasure in taking shots against Bloomberg, a billionaire he wants to beat. Elizabeth Warren enjoyed throwing jabs at Bloomberg over women’s issues. One advantage Bloomberg has is access to a large quantity of money. He also owns a media company that can produce any type of ads and buy advertising everywhere.

Given his trajectory, Bloomberg has a slim chance of securing the nomination from the Democrats. Hence, if he runs, he would have to run as an Independent.

Currently, it is quite plausible the three main candidates could end up being Donald Trump for the Republicans, Bernie Sanders for the Democrats and Michael Bloomberg as an Independent. Trump will get the Republican vote, but Bloomberg can take away some of his voter base, leaving more to feast on by Sanders. Bloomberg can take away certain crucial numbers from certain states from Trump. Of course, he won’t win, but he will play a role in the division.

Russia right now probably prefers Donald Trump. No Democratic candidate is appealing to Russia and the whole “Russiagate” scenario means it would be career suicide for any Democrat to speak favorably about Russia or Putin. Nor would that meet any of the objectives of the Democratic Party.

In conclusion, be prepared for Russia to cause problems within the Democratic Party, using social media to encourage the divide within the party itself and to cause (as per usual) unsavory reactions.

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Christina Kitova

I spent most of my professional life in finance, insurance risk management litigation.

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