What is the Future of Armenia?

  • The conflict between Armenia and Azerbaijan is temporarily frozen.
  • The modern Armenians are not the same ancestors from the Roman Empire days.
  • The Russian Empire implemented one of its "historical missions" as the sole "defenders of Orthodoxy."

The escalation of the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict, and the subsequent ceasefire, has been on the forefront of the news around the globe. Earlier this month, the ceasefire agreement was signed by Russia, Armenia, and Azerbaijan. History tends to repeat itself, but the future of Armenia can be problematic.

Nikol Pashinyan is an Armenian politician serving as Prime Minister of Armenia since 8 May 2018 (as acting Prime Minister from 16 October to 9 December 2018). He is a former journalist and editor.

At present, Russia asserted ascendance in the Nagorno-Karabakh region. However, the conflict between Armenia and Azerbaijan is temporarily frozen. Armenia experienced a large number of casualties, but the inept Prime Minister of Armenia, Nikol Pashinyan,  remained in power.

The Armenian opposition did not gain the support of the West. Yet, Sveltana Tichanovskaya from Belarus was able to gain the support of the EU. US President Donald Trump has not been interested in foreign policy outside of his own “trade war” interests. However, in the case of China, it is necessary.

Currently, Armenia does not have united national interests by the populous. The modern Armenians are not the same ancestors from the Roman Empire’s days. From the historical prospective, there was no such thing as nationalism. Nationalism was later perverted by Communist and Nazi interests.

The latter was used to benefit Hitler and promote his sickening plans for the Aryan race. Prior to the last century, there were dynasties that ruled in the different regions around the world. The president of Russia, Vladimir Putin, and even US President Donald Trump, are big supporters of nationalism.

During the formation of the countries and national identities, the key factors were the lands and sovereignty rights. During the last century, the United Kingdom had the largest influences on the formation of Armenia. According to the historians, the Russian Empire implemented one of its “historical missions” as the sole “defenders of Orthodoxy.”

Hence,  the Holstein-Gottorp-Romanov elite had effective tools in gaining influence in the strategic regions of the world, including Anatolia (Asia Minor) and the Balkans. It was the implementation of this policy that became the basis for the Crimean War.

It should be noted that Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan is eager to support Crimean Tatars based on the Ottoman Empire’s historic roots. The UK showed a vested interest in the region after the Crimean War. The UK wanted to create its own influence in the Balkans in the true spirit of the colonist appetite.

Nagorno-Karabakh is a disputed territory, internationally recognized as part of Azerbaijan, but mostly governed by the Republic of Artsakh (formerly named Nagorno-Karabakh Republic), a de facto independent state with an Armenian ethnic majority established on the basis of the Nagorno-Karabakh Autonomous Oblast of the Azerbaijan Soviet Socialist Republic.

Thereafter, the Soviets decided to bring Armenia into the Union to stop the UK. Moreover, Armenians existed solely as an enclave of the Armenian Church. Armenia is one of the few nations in the Caucasus that are Christians. The majority of the nations in the regions are Muslim and ancestors of the Ottoman Empire’s ruling elites.

The original conflict in Nagorno-Karabakh was actually fueled by the UK. It was to make sure that Armenians stood against Muslims and promoted British interests. Yet, now, Britain is so “tolerant.”

Nevertheless, with Russian peacekeepers in the region, the Russian position is gaining strength. However, there is still certain EU influence within certain groups, who are supporting Pashinyan.

There are large Armenian diasporas around the globe, which have their agendas, and some have Iranian roots. It would be wise for the US to assert its own interests in the region, once Joe Biden is sworn in as the next President.

If Armenians do not wise up they will end up losing all control of the region, and Azerbaijan will be successful in getting everything they desire, with the aid of Turkey. The question is, will Armenia survive as in independent nation?

Given the history, their autonomy has always been based on other nations. This century could lead to the Armenians’ destruction at their own hands.

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Christina Kitova

I spent most of my professional life in finance, insurance risk management litigation.

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