- 58% of those who intend to vote for Biden, say their vote is more against Trump.
- “This poll is a warning for Democrats and the Biden team that there is still a lot of work to be done,” opined Peter Hart, a Democratic researcher.
- Senator Kamala Harris of California, nominated last week as Biden’s running mate.
With less than three months to the U.S. presidential election, 50% of registered voters in the country would vote for the Democratic party candidate, Joe Biden if the elections were held today, while 41% back incumbent Donald Trump. The figures are from the very latest opinion poll conducted by The Wall Street Journal / NBC News.
The survey was carried out between August 9 and 12 and released this Sunday. Biden’s positive rating increased by 5 percentage points between July and August to 39%, but the Democrat remains viewed more negatively than positively by the broader constituency, as does President Trump.
“This poll is a warning for Democrats and the Biden team that there is still a lot of work to be done,” opined Peter Hart, a Democratic researcher who worked on the poll with Bill McInturff, a Republican, and Jeff Horwitt, a Democrat.
In another sign of the potential weakness of Democratic support, 58% of those who intend to vote for Biden say their vote is more against Trump than in favor of the former vice president. In contrast, those in favor of Trump are more convinced of their choice: almost three-quarters say their vote is more in favor of Trump than against Biden. “In one respect, Biden’s vote looks like Trump’s did in 2016: more a vote against their opponent than support for them,” Mr. Horwitt said.
Senator Kamala Harris of California, nominated last week as Biden’s running mate, had a positive rating of 39% of voters in the poll and a negative rating of 35%; 14% said they still didn’t have an opinion. She is more popular among women (45%) and voters of color (45%) than among men (32%) and white voters (36%).
In the poll, Trump got 10 percentage points more than Biden on the question of which candidate can handle the economy in a better way. However, the majority of respondents, 58%, say they disapprove of the way the president is handling the COVID-19 pandemic. About 53% say he didn’t take the threat seriously enough at first and still doesn’t handle it well, up from 45% in April.
Considering the diverse demographic groups included in the survey. Trump narrowly wins the male vote, while Biden holds a 21-point lead among women. The former vice president also has an 80-point lead among black voters, 26 points among Hispanics and 7 points among voters aged 65 and over. Trump has 51 points more among white evangelical voters and 24 points considering white voters without a four-year university degree.
The poll revealed that interest in the election is high: 79% of voters said they had the highest level of interest in voting, 7 points above the October 2016 poll, a month before the election of Trump.
Former President Barack Obama, an important supporter of the Biden campaign, is viewed positively by 54% of voters in general. In addition, when asked which party should control the next Congress, 47% of voters declared it to be Democratic, against 42% of those who are for the Republican party.
The Wall Street Journal / NBC News poll interviewed 900 registered voters and recorded a margin of error of 3.27 percentage points more or less.
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